Thusday 04/09/2014, 21:00, ATP US Open, Roger Federer vs Gael Monfils

Roger Federer vs Gael Monfils Betting Preview

The quarterfinals of the ATP U.S. Open are upon us and former number one Roger Federer takes on Gael Monfils, in what appears to be the most lopsided match of this round. The French player should not be underestimated, because he recently caused a major upset, by defeating Bulgarian Dimitrov. He is one of the most athletic players in the circuit and has the stamina to play for five sets if necessary, while Roger is no longer in his prime.

Roger Federer vs Gael Monfils Betting Odds

At Bet365

Roger Federer 1.25, Gael Monfils 3.75

Roger Federer vs Gael Monfils Betting Tips

Roger Federer is playing some of his best tennis at the US open, cruising so far with three consecutive victories and a single set lost. In the last round, he had no problem in wrapping things up in three sets and now has his sights locked on the semifinals. He made it this far on many occasions and even won the tournament, so he has a certain edge over the Frenchman.

What Roger doesn't have is the advantage of youth and the longer the match takes, the less likely it is for the Swiss player to emerge victorious. Fatigue caught up with him at Wimbledon where he was eliminated by current number one Djokovic, at the end of a match that lasted five sets and many hours.

It is this kind of scenario that Federer will try to avoid against Monfils, so taking the opening set is going to be very important. The problem is that the Frenchman is yet to lose a set at the US open and he dominated his opponents throughout the first three rounds. The recent victory over Dimitrov was impressive on many levels, because the Bulgarian has a reputation of serving with deadly force.

By comparison, Roger is more technical and has the ability of sending the ball exactly where he needs to, but in long rallies, he is at a disadvantage. Gael is not the player to shift into a more defensive gear and will not hesitate to attack, despite the fact that he is credited with the second chance.

Key Facts

• The two players met on nine occasions and Monfils won just twice
• Roger Federer won the only match between the two of them in 2014, but dropped a set

Roger Federer vs Gael Monfils Betting Prediction

This is not going to be the lopsided match that bookmakers seem to expect and there is tremendous value in crediting the Frenchman not to lose by more than six games. Even if the former number one prevails in straight sets, it is very likely that at least one of them will go to tiebreak, so the +5.5 line is worth betting on at odds of 1.85.

Bet: Gael Monfils +5.5 games @ 1.85 with Bet365